Post by account_disabled on Mar 10, 2024 22:32:20 GMT -6
This sociological study has two parts. In the first I expose the general framework and the electoral expectations and challenges of the progressive forces to define a winning transformative profile. In the second, based on CIS data and with various graphs, I analyze two relevant issues that support this social and democratic project: Ideological self-location and subjective identification of social class, and civic opinion on the reinforcement of services public and taxes. Almost all of the private demographic studies published so far give the right-wing bloc led by the leader of the Madrid Popular Party , Isabel Díaz Ayuso, as the winner of the CAM regional elections. The victory would be clear if Ciudadanos enters the Madrid Assembly, which is doubtful, with its willingness to negotiate a right-wing government with Ayuso, and it would be tight if it is left out.
Only, practically, the previous CIS survey, from April 5, indicates a technical tie (68 seats) between both blocks, right and left, while the one published on April 22 opens a range between 65 and 69 seats for the sum of the right (PP and VOX, Cs is left out) and between 67 and 73 seats Belgium Mobile Number List for the three left (PSOE, MM and UP). In those weeks, the willingness to participate in elections has increased somewhat, although there are still 20% of people who are undecided. The overall results are similar, and I will use the disaggregated data from the first survey. There is a certain tie and victory is not decided, although in the face of initial resignation, expectations of winning the elections for the left bloc have grown. The death threats received by the Unidas Podemos candidate , Pablo Iglesias and his family, the Minister of the Interior and the general director.
The Civil Guard, together with the provocations of the VOX leaders, have given a turn to the campaign and have placed the defense of democracy and against the fascist reaction at the foreground, with a foreseeable increase in progressive electoral participation. In a recent article in these pages, La encrucijada electoral madrileña , I analyzed the context, the implications and the necessary determination for a progressive program of change, as well as for the cooperation of left-wing forces, especially between Más Madrid and Unidas Podemos. In particular, he criticized the centrist and exclusionary strategy of the socialist candidate Ángel Gabilondo and described it as a loser. Subsequent events have confirmed it: it is not feasible to constitute a center-left government (PSOE, MM and Cs) and it is not effective to win enough centrist voters; Thus, it receives a small transfer of votes from Ciudadanos.
Only, practically, the previous CIS survey, from April 5, indicates a technical tie (68 seats) between both blocks, right and left, while the one published on April 22 opens a range between 65 and 69 seats for the sum of the right (PP and VOX, Cs is left out) and between 67 and 73 seats Belgium Mobile Number List for the three left (PSOE, MM and UP). In those weeks, the willingness to participate in elections has increased somewhat, although there are still 20% of people who are undecided. The overall results are similar, and I will use the disaggregated data from the first survey. There is a certain tie and victory is not decided, although in the face of initial resignation, expectations of winning the elections for the left bloc have grown. The death threats received by the Unidas Podemos candidate , Pablo Iglesias and his family, the Minister of the Interior and the general director.
The Civil Guard, together with the provocations of the VOX leaders, have given a turn to the campaign and have placed the defense of democracy and against the fascist reaction at the foreground, with a foreseeable increase in progressive electoral participation. In a recent article in these pages, La encrucijada electoral madrileña , I analyzed the context, the implications and the necessary determination for a progressive program of change, as well as for the cooperation of left-wing forces, especially between Más Madrid and Unidas Podemos. In particular, he criticized the centrist and exclusionary strategy of the socialist candidate Ángel Gabilondo and described it as a loser. Subsequent events have confirmed it: it is not feasible to constitute a center-left government (PSOE, MM and Cs) and it is not effective to win enough centrist voters; Thus, it receives a small transfer of votes from Ciudadanos.
